- A study authored by Harvard University researchers was recently published in the journal Science
- It projected that social distancing might be necessary until 2022 unless a treatment or vaccine becomes available or critical care capacity is increased
- Researchers also assumed that COVID-19 will likely become seasonal, just like other coronaviruses, and a one-time social distancing measure will not be effective
- However, the study said that the goal in modeling such policies is not to endorse them but to spur innovative ideas to expand the list of options to bring the pandemic under long-term control
A study authored by Harvard University researchers revealed that the public may still have to practice social distancing for a longer time.
The study, published in the journal Science, projected that social distancing might be necessary until 2022 unless a treatment or vaccine becomes available or "critical care capacity is increased."
"The total incidence of COVID-19 illness over the next five years will depend critically upon whether or not it enters into regular circulation after the initial pandemic wave, which in turn depends primarily upon the duration of immunity that SARS-CoV-2 infection imparts," the study said.
Harvard researchers also assumed that COVID-19 will likely become seasonal, just like other coronaviruses, and a one-time social distancing measure will not be efficient. They argued that implementing this measure only once could result in a "prolonged single-peak epidemic".
"Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available," the researchers found.
“The authors are aware that prolonged distancing, even if intermittent, is likely to have profoundly negative economic, social, and educational consequences,” it added.
The study furthermore added that, “Our goal in modeling such policies is not to endorse them but to identify likely trajectories of the epidemic under alternative approaches, identify complementary interventions such as expanding ICU capacity and identifying treatments to reduce ICU demand, and to spur innovative ideas to expand the list of options to bring the pandemic under long-term control.”
In a previous report by KAMI, experts recently seen a greater number of men than women suffering severe symptoms of COVID-19.
The coronavirus outbreak started out in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China. Scientists believed that the virus came from an animal at one of Wuhan's wet markets. At present, the Philippines is under a state of calamity while the entire Luzon is under an enhanced community quarantine.
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